Week 4: Who's the Most Favorite Favorite?

If you listened to me last week you would have had the best week of your pick'em season so far. Atlanta beat the Saints outright! You heard that here first. Cleveland picks up the ATS win against Baltimore! I predicted that. And Dallas finally gets their first win against Houston in the Fight for Texas. Me again! I felt really good about last week. Here are the results:



Straight: 12-4 (27-21)

ATS: 11-5 (28-20)

Over/Under: 5-11 (21-27)



The over/under percentage took a hit last week, but with good stats elsewhere, I can't complain.



Week 2 was a week for the fans who love to pick the underdog (11 underdog ATS wins). This week is for the fans who only bet the favorites. The robot has only predicted 2 underdogs to win this week.



Guaranteed Money Pick:
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6)
If you only bet one game this week, take the Eagles (-6) at home against the Redskins. Washington has the worst defense in the league right now, and anyone who hasn't been living under a rock for the last 11 years knows McNabb doesn't handle high-pressure games. Also, with the Eagles finally deciding on a quarterback, the Eagles have regained their focus. And with Vick behind center and able to scramble like he can, it doesn't matter that Philly's Offensive line might as well be sitting on a couch at the line of scrimmage. Eagles send a message and win 40-9.

Too Close to Call Pick:
Cincinatti Bengals(-3) @ Cleveland Browns
Now, this doesn't happen too ofte. The Robot predicted a score that exactly matches the Las Vegas Spread. Keep your money away from this game. It's a divisional matchup between two inconsistant teams. You may think the Bengals' new wide receivers are going to take over this game, but don't sleep on the Browns. Statistically, these two teams are not very far apart. Bet elsewhere. The Robot says that the Bengals barely win 20-17. A push!

Genius Underdog Pick:
Chicago Bears @ New York Giants(-4)
The Robot has only picked two underdogs this week, the Bears and the Dolphins. I like the Bears as the Genius pick this week though. They're undefeated so far and playing against a team that has looked mediocre at best this year. Given, the Bears' last two wins were because of penalties on the opposing team, but the bottom line is they are finding ways to win games and that's all that matters. Look for the Bears to win in a big upset on the road 21-20.

Here is the complete list of picks for Week 4:

Game......................Straight............ATS...............O/U
NYJ(-5.5)@ Buf...............NYJ.....................NYJ...................o37
Bal@ Pit(-1.5)...................Pit........................Pit.....................u34.5
Sea(-1)@ Stl......................Sea.......................Sea...................o39.5
SF@ Atl(-7).......................Atl........................Atl....................o42.5
Cin(-3)@ Cle......................Cin.......................Cin....................u37.5
Den@ Ten(-6.5)................Ten......................Ten...................o42.5
Car@ NO(-13.5)................NO.......................NO....................u44.5
Det@ GB(-14.5).................GB.......................GB.....................o45.5
Hou(-3)@ Oak....................Hou.....................Hou...................o43.5
Ind(-7.5)@ Jax...................Ind......................Ind....................o46.5
Was@ Phi(-6).....................Phi.......................Phi....................o42.5
Ari@ SD(-8.5).....................SD........................SD....................u46
Chi@ NYG(-4)....................Chi.......................Chi....................u44
NE(-1)@ Mia......................Mia.......................Mia...................u46.5

Byes: Dal, KC, Min, TB

I'm broadcasting from Titans country this week. I'm in Franklin, TN, about 20 minutes outside of Nashville. All the Titans fans I talk to have high hopes for the Titans to go deep into the postseason this year. Tennessee is looking good this year, but I don't know if they have what it takes to win the whole thing. I guess we'll just have to see. Thanks for the warm welcome Tennessee.

Good luck with your plays, everyone!