Week 3: Denver is only +5.5 vs. the Colts

Picking NFL games in the beginning of the season is not an easy task. I was telling everyone to stay away from my picks because I knew they would be a little shaky. At least I was 50% against the spread so if you made all of my picks you still wouldn’t have lost money. If I’m not sure of my picks I’ll tell you. The “experts” would have just taken your money and sent you packing.

All right, Week 2 was hectic but you will see these numbers improve as the season progresses. Here are the results:

Straight – 6-10 (15-17)
ATS – 8-8 (17-15)
Over/Under – 8-8 (16-16)

Week 3 is a little more promising, but since it’s still early in the season, don’t make any big parlays for a couple weeks.

Guaranteed Money Pick:
Indianapolis Colts (-5.5) @ Denver Broncos
The most obvious pick this week is to take the Colts against Denver and lay the 5.5 points. Denver could have a shot at hanging in this game if they had a decent running game to exploit the Colts’ 32nd ranked run defense. The Broncos will probably score a couple rushing touchdowns, but Peyton Manning is going to light this team up. Take the Colts and the over (48) and watch Indy cruise to a 32-19 win

Too Close to Call Pick:
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (-11)
Minnesota confuses me. They have the weapons to win, high expectations and a quarterback who has been throwing a football since the Cold War, but they still haven’t won a game this season. And then there’s Detroit. On the brink of starting to look like a professional football team, the Lions have done at least what they’ve needed to do to beat the spread this season. 11 points might be too much to give to a team this unpredictable, but they are the Lions. A conundrum! Don’t waste your time betting on this one. I say the Vikings escape with their first win 17-13. But I still don’t want to bet on the Lions. Hmm...

Genius Underdog Pick:
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens (-11)
As soon as I saw this spread, I knew it was going to be my underdog special. There are a couple of underdogs this week, but this is the one I’m most sure of. 11 points is a lot to lay for an offense that can’t exactly score at will. It’s a divisional game between two mediocre offenses, so I say it’ll be a lot closer than Vegas thinks. Bet the farm on Cleveland with the points. My Underdog Picks haven’t been wrong yet. Baltimore wins but won’t cover 17-12.

The Complete List for Week 3:


Game……….....…..Straight……ATS……..o/u
SF(-3)@ KC…………………KC…………KC………..o37
Cin(-3)@ Car………………Cin………..Cin……….o38
Cle@ Bal(-11)…………….Bal………..Cle……….u37
Det@ Min(-11)…………..Min……….Det………u42.5
Ten@ NYG(-3)……………Ten………..Ten………o43.5
Pit(-2.5)@ TB……………..TB………….TB……….u33.5
Atl@ NO(-3.5)…………….Atl…………Atl……….u49.5
Buf@ NE(-14)……………..NE…………NE……….u42.5
Dal@ Hou(-3)……………..Dal………..Dal………u47.5
Was(-3.5)@ Stl…………..Stl………….Stl………..o39
Phi(-3)@ Jax……………….Phi…………Phi……….o44.5
SD(-5.5)@ Sea…………….SD………….Sea………u44
Ind(-5.5)@ Den…………..Ind………….Ind………o48
Oak@ Ari(-4.5)……………Oak………..Oak……..o39.5
NYJ@ Mia(-2.5)…………..Mia……….Mia………u35.5
GB(-3)@ Chi………………..GB…………GB………..u46

Have fun and good luck!