Thursday, April 02, 2009

Rough Draft of Score and Spread Prediction

I worked on a Scoring program to add to the PickEm Master today. Now, it will still need some testing but here are some of the early results.

All the teams are based on their power rankings at the end of the 2008 regular season. Homefield Advantage and Winning/Losing Streaks have been disabled.


Philadelphia 22 - Dallas 14

Philadelphia 14 - Pittsburgh 10

Dallas 17 - Washington 14

Baltimore 10 - Pittsburgh 7

Pittsburgh 35 - Detroit 3

New England 29 - Miami 21

Pittsburgh 12 - Tennessee 9

New York Giants 27 - Indianapolis 14

Hope you found some of these interesting. If you have another matchup in mind, comment with it and I'll run it through the program.

So I'll be testing this method this season and if it starts to do better than the Vegas Lines my faithful fans and I are going to be making some extra cash.

Last Year's Blogs

I received a couple requests to move my old blogs from MySpace over to its new location here.....There are too many to copy and paste. Plus, reformatting them to fit this blog would be pretty hectic. So, to all who are interested, you can type in this address to view them on myspace even if you don't have an account.

http://blogs.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=blog.ListAll&friendId=67472718

Again, I'm still learning about this platform and will let you know things I've learned as I come across them. For example, if you click "Follow" on the left side of the screen, you can easily setup a free account to get sent email alerts of when posts are published. Then, you'll be noted as one of my fans on the site.

Another thing about the site is that anyone can comment on the blogs, even if you don't have an account. So, use it. State your opinions, disagree or root for your favorite team. The option is set up so comments are reviewed before posting, but as long as the comments are relatively clean they will be posted. Just click the "Comments" link at the bottom of each post.

I'm working on a method of assigning score differences to each game. That way you can compare my spreads to the Las Vegas Line and maybe make some solid bets. I'll let you know how this is going as it progresses.

Draft Day is soon approaching, and options are up in the air.....Stay Tuned!

Music


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