Wednesday, October 21, 2009

What is going on?!?! Week 7 Picks

An identical week to last, this week's results are mediocre at best. Picking straight winners last season seemed to be very easy. However, predicting scores and winners against the spread is proving to be much more difficult. This week, I will be running my normal system as well as an alternate score predictor. The alternate system generated four different winners against the spread than the original calculator. So, if the alternate proves to be more accurate than I'll use that to run my program.

But, while I'm testing the new system, my posted results will reflect the system I have been using. I'm sort of getting spanked in my pickem pools, so I have to change something.

Week 6 Results: Straight 7-7 (57-33) ; ATS 6-8 (44-46)

Murphy's Pick of the Week: New York Jets(-6) @ Oakland Raiders
A lot of people want to jump on the Raiders' bandwagon because of the surprising win last week against the Eagles. Don't fall for it! The Raiders still exercise one of the most futile offenses in the league. The Jets will definitely overcome by a large margin. I'll take the Jets here 24-7.

Murphy's Impossible Play: Philadelphia Eagles(-7) @ Washington Redskins
This one is tempting. Washington seems like a pushover for the playoff caliber Eagles, but last week really shook me on taking Philly automatically here. They are out of sync and therefore unpredictable. I think they'll win it, but I'm not putting money on it. Eagles 17-10.

Murphy's Genius Play: Chicago Bears @ Cincinnati Bengals(-1.5)
Cincinnati is one of my favorite teams this year, and I think most fans will agree considering the wins over Baltimore and Pittsburgh. However, losing to Houston last week could be a sign of losses ahead. So, while everyone is betting the Bengals and wondering why the spread is so low, you do the genius thing. Take the Bears to win away 21-17.

GAME............................ ATS PICK................ STRAIGHT PICK
GB(7.5)@Cle........................GB...................................GB
SD(-5)@KC..........................SD....................................SD
Ind(-13)@StL......................Ind...................................Ind
NE(-14.5)@TB.....................NE...................................NE
Min@ Pit(-4)........................Pit....................................Pit
SF@ Hou(-3)........................SF....................................Hou
Buf@ Car(-6.5).....................Buf..................................Car
Atl@ Dal(-4).........................Dal...................................Dal
NO(-6.5)@Mia.....................NO...................................NO
Ari@ NYG(-7)......................NYG................................NYG

Only 13 games this week with 6 teams on bye. Limits your parlays a little bit. Careful with your plays, Sports Fans, and good luck.

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