All right, Sports Fans, the draft is over, but there's still a long summer before Preseason in the NFL. I've begun making adjustments to each team's strength values based on the draft. Each team received a grade value for their draft choices. Combined with the grades of several other experts and each teams individual preseason capability, I should be able to come right out of the gate with accurate predictions.
I ran into a dilemma when trying to determine how I could make accurate first-week predictions, seeing as how my prediction criteria is largely based on how each team has performed so far that season. In the first game of the year there is no "performance so far" in that season.
I didn't want to base my decisions on preseason games alone, considering many teams are working out roster situations and position battles. And I couldn't base it simply on the draft when many rookies will not start for their respective teams right away. Therefore, through some mathematics, I came up with a formula to combine these two areas and we'll see how it goes.
One more thing to mention to my devoted fans is that most of my work this season will be done while serving as an activated army reservist. Hopefully, I'll still be in the country for most of the season, and will be able to write my weekly posts. No worries.
Alright, Sports Fans, don't forget to click 'follow' on the left to become an official fan of my blog. And, as always leave comments for everyone to see.
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